Earthquake Probability Forecasts for Kastamonu and Near Surroundings

Özmen B.

TURKIYE JEOLOJI BULTENI-GEOLOGICAL BULLETIN OF TURKEY, vol.54, no.3, pp.109-122, 2011 (ESCI) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 54 Issue: 3
  • Publication Date: 2011
  • Journal Name: TURKIYE JEOLOJI BULTENI-GEOLOGICAL BULLETIN OF TURKEY
  • Journal Indexes: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Page Numbers: pp.109-122
  • Keywords: Seismicity, Kastamonu, magnitude-frequency relation, Poisson method
  • Gazi University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Kastamonu city center falls into the first degree earthquake zone in the latest map of 1996 which is still in force. 46 percent of the surface area of Kastamonu province is in the first degree hazard zone, 22 percent in the second degree hazard zone, 24 percent in the third degree hazard zone and 8 percent in the fourth degree hazard zone. Although the city center is located the first degree hazard zone, there are very few studies on seismicity and seismic hazard for this region.