China's Labor-Capital Ratio, Human Capital Accumulation, and Labor Wage: An Empirical Analysis Using a VAR Model


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Qian X., Wang H., Zhao Y., Zhao Y.

16th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM), Ankara, Türkiye, 3 - 06 Ağustos 2022, cilt.145, ss.381-396, (Tam Metin Bildiri) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Cilt numarası: 145
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1007/978-3-031-10385-8_28
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Ankara
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.381-396
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Labor, Capital, Human resources, VAR
  • Açık Arşiv Koleksiyonu: AVESİS Açık Erişim Koleksiyonu
  • Gazi Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

China's labor-capital ratio (L-C ratio) has fallen sharply over the past two decades, indicating that labor is increasingly being replaced by capital. However, research on the L-C ratio trend is inadequate, especially regarding the driving force and its impact. This study focuses on the relationship between China's L-C ratio and human capital accumulation by applying the panel vector auto-regression (PVAR) approach. Using a panel data of 30 Chinese provinces for 1997-2014, the analysis yields the following findings: First, the L-C ratio has a negative impact on human capital accumulation, suggesting that the major driving force of the L-C ratio's sharp decline is the demand-side driving force, rather than the supply-side. Second, the decline of the L-C ratio is majorly driven by the demand-side factors after the Labor Contract Law, but by the supply-side factors before the law, suggesting that the Labor Contract Law has greatly changed the demand-supply balance of China's labor market. Third, the L-C ratio has a negative effect on labor wages by increasing regional human capital accumulation, suggesting that employees can increase their wages through human capital investment in reaction to the decline in the L-C ratio.