Integrative Probabilistic Design of River Jetties by 3D Numerical Models of Transport Phenomena: The Case Study of Kabakoz River Jetties


Uğurlu A., Balas C. E.

MARINE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY BULLETIN, cilt.13, sa.2, ss.151-167, 2024 (Hakemli Dergi)

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 13 Sayı: 2
  • Basım Tarihi: 2024
  • Doi Numarası: 10.33714/masteb.1414048
  • Dergi Adı: MARINE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY BULLETIN
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: CAB Abstracts, Central & Eastern European Academic Source (CEEAS), Food Science & Technology Abstracts, Directory of Open Access Journals, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.151-167
  • Gazi Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Various methods are employed to investigate the effects of coastal structures in coastal areas on

marine environments and transport phenomena. These methods can be categorized into physical

models and numerical simulations. Due to the lack of long-term wave height data in Türkiye,

numerical models are utilized to estimate wave heights generated by wind based on long-term

measured wind speeds. These wave heights generated in deep sea conditions can be transported to

the coast by wave transformation and interactions between coastal structures and waves, turbulence,

currents induced by wind and breaking waves, coastal sediment transport rates, and changes in the

coastline can be successfully predicted with the assistance of numerical models. In the scope of this

study, the new “Integrative Probabilistic Design Approach of River Jetties” was developed. 3D

numerical models were used for the optimum design, considering the sediment transport near the

jetties and aiming to protect the coastal environment in the long term. 3D numerical modeling has

been conducted to investigate the transport phenomena occurring at the outlet of the Kabakoz River

in the Şile District of İstanbul Province to acquire the optimum layout and design of the coastal

structures. The study presents the “Integrative Probabilistic Design Approach” for coastal protection

structures by wind and wave climate, wave transformation, coastal sediment transport, shoreline

change, and coastal structure probabilistic design sub-models. Monte Carlo Simulation of Hudson

Limit State function conducts probabilistic design for the jetties. The greatest advantage of

probabilistic design (Monte Carlo Simulation) is the prediction of uncertainties, such as wave height

changes under design conditions. Following the completion of the construction of groins, the effect

of probabilistic design on both design and coastal morphology can be evaluated precisely. In

conclusion, in the study area, 146,237.55 m3 of sediment is transported annually from west to east

and 221,043.49 m3 from east to west. In the absence of coastal structures, sediment transport from

east to west is approximately 1.5 times greater than from west to east. The annual net coastal sediment

transport from east to west is approximately 74,805.94 m3, while the total transport is estimated to be

367,281.04 m3.