Turkish monetary policy and components of aggregate demand: a VAR analysis with sign restrictions model

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BERUMENT M. H., Denaux Z., Yalcin Y.

APPLIED ECONOMICS, vol.44, no.36, pp.4787-4798, 2012 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 44 Issue: 36
  • Publication Date: 2012
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564151
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.4787-4798
  • Gazi University Affiliated: Yes


This article estimates the effects of monetary policy on components of aggregate demand using quarterly data on Turkish economy from 1987-2008 by means of structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology. This study adopts Uhlig's (2005) sign restrictions on the impulse responses of main macroeconomic variables to identify monetary shock. This study finds that expansionary monetary policy stimulates output through consumption and investment in the short-run. However, expansionary monetary policy is ineffective in the long-run.