Correlation analysis between the occurrence of adverse events and infrastructure development in an active war theater


Creative Commons License

Çakıt E., Karwowskı W.

19thTriennial Congress of the International Ergonomics Association (IEA 2015), Melbourne, Avustralya, 9 - 14 Ağustos 2015

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Melbourne
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Avustralya
  • Gazi Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

Here we report a correlation analysis aimed at determining the relationships between the occurrence of adverse events and infrastructure development in an active war theater. The total budget and total aid number of 14 project types at years t=0 (the current year), t-1 (the previous year), and t-2 (two years ago), as well as the number of adverse events (killed, wounded, and hijacked) in the previous month, and the urban and rural population density for males and females, were used to correlate the number of adverse events in year t+1. Thus, the data included a total of 89 independent variables and 4 dependent variables reflecting adverse events. All data used in this study reflect incidents and infrastructure development projects that took place between 2002 and 2010 in Afghanistan. Based on the correlation analysis findings, we conclude that most independent variables are significantly related to the dependent variables (p<0.05). The results demonstrate that past projects and population density variables are more related with dependent variables. The correlation analysis conducted in this study may serve as a starting point for the eventual development of prediction models..