Risk assessment of Eregli vertical wall breakwater in Turkey
JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS, cilt.31, sa.2, ss.69-77, 2002 (SCI-Expanded, SSCI, Scopus)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 31 Sayı: 2
- Basım Tarihi: 2002
- Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS
- Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.69-77
- Gazi Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
In the reliability-risk assessment, the second order reliability index (~11)method and
the Conditional Expectation Monte Carlo (CEMC) simulation were interrelated as a
new Level III approach in order to analyse the safety level of the vertical wall
breakwaters in Turkey. The failure probabilities of sliding and overturning failure
modes of the Minikin method for breaking wave forces were forecasted by
approximating the failure surface with a second-degree polynomial having an equal
curvature at the design point. In the new approach, for each randomly generated
load and tide combination, the joint failure probability reflected both the
occurrence probability of loading condition and the structural failure risk at the
limit state. The approach can be applied for the risk assessment of vertical wall
breakwaters in short CPU durations of portable computers.