Electric Vehicle Projection and Incentive Recommendations in Türkiye

Bildirici M., KAPLAN O.

12th International Conference on Smart Grid, icSmartGrid 2024, Hybrid, Setubal, Portekiz, 27 - 29 Mayıs 2024, ss.835-839 identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1109/icsmartgrid61824.2024.10578290
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Hybrid, Setubal
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Portekiz
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.835-839
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: electric vehicles, multiple linear regression, public policy
  • Gazi Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In this study, the number of electric vehicles in Türkiye is estimated for the 2025, 2030 and 2035. Vehicles such as buses and trucks, which have a negligible proportion of electric types in the country, are excluded and only automobile data is evaluated in the study. Firstly, the total number of automobiles is analyzed by multiple linear regression method. Population, average GDP per capita, invoiced electricity consumption, domestic sales of petroleum, LPG sales, and number of automobiles in the country are used in the analysis. Then, scenarios are created by analyzing the ratio of electric vehicles in projected automobile sales in similar countries. Finally, incentive recommendations are presented according to the scenarios created.