Investigating the relationship between adverse events and infrastructure development in an active war theater using soft computing techniques

Cakit E., Karwowski W., Bozkurt H., Ahram T., Thompson W., Mikusinski P., ...More

APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING, vol.25, pp.204-214, 2014 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 25
  • Publication Date: 2014
  • Doi Number: 10.1016/j.asoc.2014.09.028
  • Journal Name: APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.204-214
  • Keywords: Infrastructure development, Adverse events, Soft computing, Artificial neural networks (ANNs), Fuzzy inference system (FIS), Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS)
  • Gazi University Affiliated: No

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between adverse events and infrastructure development investments in an active war theater by using soft computing techniques including fuzzy inference systems (FIS), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS) where the accuracy of the predictions is directly beneficial from an economic and humanistic point of view. Fourteen developmental and economic improvement projects were selected as independent variables. A total of four outputs reflecting the adverse events in terms of the number of people killed, wounded or hijacked, and the total number of adverse events has been estimated.